Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Nov 4, 2026

As of 20:24 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, “No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate” leads “Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?” on Polymarket at 59% (-2pp in 24h), followed by “No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate” at 34% (-5pp in 24h) and “Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate” at 5% (+2pp in 24h), out of 4 outcomes. The event has $21.1k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.