Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Nov 4, 2026

As of 00:00 UTC on 13 Oct 2026, “No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate” leads “Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?” on Polymarket at 62% (+2pp in 24h), followed by “No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate” at 32% (-4pp in 24h) and “Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate” at 3%, out of 4 outcomes. The event has $26.7k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.