As of 14:14 UTC on 13 Oct 2026, “37.8–37.9” leads “Trump approval rating on October 16?” on Polymarket at 23% (+13pp in 24h), followed by “38.0–38.1” at 20% (+7pp in 24h) and “37.6–37.7” at 14% (+1pp in 24h), out of 10 outcomes. The event has $1.9k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?” on Kalshi, an event with 8 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Myriad and Limitless.
vol cum
$1.9k
vol 24h
$1.9k
outcomes
10
ends
Oct 17, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 10
TrumpApprovalPoliticsRecurringapprovals
marketselected outcome
37.8–37.9
rank #1
United States
23¢
▲ 13.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$198
vol 24h
$198
spread
0.04
ends
Oct 17, 2026
This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026.
This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.
If the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
