Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Winner in São Paulo City
Polymarket·Politics·ends Oct 26, 2026
As of 02:30 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, “Lula” leads “Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Winner in São Paulo City” on Polymarket at 74% (+3pp in 24h), followed by “Other” at 50% and “Flavio Bolsonaro” at 22% (+7pp in 24h), out of 3 outcomes. The event has $532 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket.
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election in the municipality of São Paulo (São Paulo state).
Only valid votes cast at polling places in the municipality of São Paulo, as reported by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) for that municipality, will count. Votes cast abroad will not count.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in the municipality of São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
