Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by...?
Polymarket·Politics·ends Oct 31, 2026
As of 18:40 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by...?” on Polymarket are “October 31” at 99% (+49pp in 24h), “October 24” at 96% (+46pp in 24h) and “October 21” at 64% (+14pp in 24h). The event has $7k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.
vol cum
$7k
vol 24h
$7k
outcomes
3
ends
Oct 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
FrancePoliticsProtestsFrance Riots
marketselected outcome
October 31
rank #1
France
99¢
▲ 49.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$982
vol 24h
$982
spread
0.02
ends
Oct 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any full calendar day between the day of market creation and the specified date, inclusive (Marseille time), passes without any ban on public gatherings in effect in any part of the City of Marseille, France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A calendar day passes without any ban on public gatherings in effect if, at no point between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM Marseille time on that day, a ban on public gatherings is in effect in any part of the City of Marseille.
The City of Marseille refers to the municipality (commune) of Marseille, within its official municipal boundaries.
A ban on public gatherings refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits gatherings or demonstrations in public spaces in the City of Marseille, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A ban of any scope will count, whether citywide or limited to specific arrondissements, districts, or neighborhoods of the City of Marseille, and must be officially declared by the City of Marseille, the Bouches-du-Rhône Police Prefecture (Préfecture de police des Bouches-du-Rhône), or a French national authority. A broader ban (e.g. department-wide or nationwide) will count so long as it applies to at least part of the City of Marseille.
Orders that prohibit or restrict only one or more specific, identified demonstrations, marches, or events (rather than gatherings or demonstrations generally) will not be considered bans on public gatherings for the purposes of this market, including where such an order applies across a defined area or the entire city. Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, and conditional or prospective statements that a ban may be imposed will not be considered bans on public gatherings for the purposes of this market. Closures of specific parks, facilities or venues, restrictions on business hours or sales, and transit suspensions will not be considered bans on public gatherings unless they also impose a ban as defined above.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
