pdatanews303
event14 outcomes

Where will it rain on October 22?

Polymarket·Climate and Weather·ends Oct 23, 2026

As of 07:46 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 14 markets in “Where will it rain on October 22?” on Polymarket are “San Francisco, CA” at 50% (-39pp in 24h), “Atlanta, GA” at 50% (+48pp in 24h) and “Los Angeles, CA” at 49%. The event has $2.7k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket and Kalshi.

vol cum
$3.1k
vol 24h
$2.7k
outcomes
14
ends
Oct 23, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 14

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on October 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.

WeatherRecurringrainHide From New
marketselected outcome
San Francisco, CA
rank #1
United States
50¢
▼ 39.4pp
24h change
vol cum
$160
vol 24h
$160
spread
1.00
ends
Oct 23, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if San Francisco, CA records measurable precipitation on October 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSFO: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSFO, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO.

timeline
opened · Oct 21, 2026closing sooncloses · Oct 23, 2026
San Francisco, CA · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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