As of 19:18 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, “21-22.5M” leads “"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets)” on Polymarket at 46% (+13pp in 24h), followed by “22.5-24M” at 27% (+5pp in 24h) and “19.5-21M” at 20% (-10pp in 24h), out of 5 outcomes. The event has $5.9k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket and Kalshi.
vol cum
$5.9k
vol 24h
$5.9k
outcomes
5
ends
Oct 26, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
MoviesCultureBox Office
marketselected outcome
21-22.5M
rank #1
46¢
▲ 13.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$571
vol 24h
$571
spread
0.19
ends
Oct 26, 2026
This market will resolve according to how much "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 23 - 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
