pdatanews302
event14 outcomes

Where will it rain on October 28?

Polymarket·Climate and Weather·ends Oct 29, 2026

As of 05:12 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 14 markets in “Where will it rain on October 28?” on Polymarket are “Houston, TX” at 99% (+50pp in 24h), “Seattle, WA” at 99% (+32pp in 24h) and “Miami, FL” at 68% (-9pp in 24h). The event has $634 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?” on Kalshi, an event with 35 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Predict.

vol cum
$1.3k
vol 24h
$634
outcomes
14
ends
Oct 29, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 14

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on October 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.

WeatherRecurringrainHide From New
marketselected outcome
Houston, TX
rank #1
United States
99¢
▲ 49.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$230
vol 24h
$230
spread
0.01
ends
Oct 29, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houston, TX records measurable precipitation on October 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KIAH: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KIAH, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=IAH.

timeline
opened · Oct 27, 2026closing sooncloses · Oct 29, 2026
Houston, TX · prices over time
−24h
now
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