How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 2?
Polymarket·Politics·ends Nov 9, 2026
As of 18:47 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, “210+” leads “How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 2?” on Polymarket at 39% (+19pp in 24h), followed by “170-189” at 33% (+13pp in 24h) and “190-209” at 28% (-3pp in 24h), out of 5 outcomes. The event has $1.7k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Limitless.
vol cum
$1.8k
vol 24h
$1.7k
outcomes
5
ends
Nov 9, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
OilIranYemenHormuztankerHouthisshippingRecurring
marketselected outcome
210+
rank #1
39¢
▲ 19.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$112
vol 24h
$72
spread
0.24
ends
Nov 9, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from November 2, 2026, through November 8, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
