How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?
Polymarket·Economy·ends Dec 1, 2026
As of 12:26 UTC on 11 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?” on Polymarket are “4.68%” at 100% (+31pp in 24h), “4.72%” at 100% (+41pp in 24h) and “4.76%” at 64% (+19pp in 24h). The event has $3k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.
vol cum
$6.7k
vol 24h
$3k
outcomes
9
ends
Dec 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
EconomyFinanceFed RatesRecurringTreasuries
marketselected outcome
4.68%
rank #1 · resolved: yes
100¢
▲ 30.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$786
vol 24h
$395
spread
0.00
ends
Dec 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
