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event10 outcomes

3rd largest private company end of November?

Polymarket·Finance·ends Dec 1, 2026

As of 02:07 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, “ByteDance” leads “3rd largest private company end of November?” on Polymarket at 85% (+35pp in 24h), followed by “Anduril” at 49% (-1pp in 24h) and “Perplexity” at 48% (-2pp in 24h), out of 10 outcomes. The event has $2.6k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Opinion, Predict, Manifold and Kalshi.

vol cum
$2k
vol 24h
$2.6k
outcomes
10
ends
Dec 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 10
OpenAIFinancePrivatesAnthropicRecurring
marketselected outcome
ByteDance
rank #1
85¢
▲ 35.3pp
24h change
vol cum
$478
vol 24h
$1.1k
spread
0.07
ends
Dec 1, 2026

This market will resolve to the listed company with the third largest private market valuation on the last trading day of November 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only. If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The listed companies will be ranked by their private market valuation as determined under these rules. If two or more companies are tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the companies' listed names. This market will resolve to the company that occupies the third highest position after applying this ranking. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data. The resolution sources for this market are: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-f364d2ab-34b7-48c9-a2b7-af62da804953 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-70f3c3d1-565b-491a-83df-54d0c8b08186 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0

timeline
opened · Nov 2, 2026opencloses · Dec 1, 2026
ByteDance · prices over time
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