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event2 outcomes

Texas Senate loser concedes by...?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Nov 5, 2026

As of 05:28 UTC on 4 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “Texas Senate loser concedes by...?” on Polymarket are “November 4” at 100% (+32pp in 24h) and “November 3” at 60% (+6pp in 24h). The event has $3.5k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 16 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

vol cum
$3.7k
vol 24h
$3.5k
outcomes
2
ends
Nov 5, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between James Talarico and Ken Paxton, the candidate who does not win the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election concedes that election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election, will not be the next U.S. Senator from Texas, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the relevant candidate begins speaking within this market's timeframe will qualify, even if the declaration of concession falls outside this market's timeframe. If neither of the listed candidates wins the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both listed candidates make a concession as described above. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations (e.g., if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone) will not count. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

MidtermsPoliticsElectionsKen PaxtonUS ElectionTexas SenateTexas MidtermUnited States
marketselected outcome
November 4
rank #1
United States
100¢
▲ 32.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.1k
vol 24h
$2k
spread
0.01
ends
Nov 5, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between James Talarico and Ken Paxton, the candidate who does not win the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election concedes that election by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election, will not be the next U.S. Senator from Texas, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the relevant candidate begins speaking within this market's timeframe will qualify, even if the declaration of concession falls outside this market's timeframe. If neither of the listed candidates wins the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both listed candidates make a concession as described above. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations (e.g., if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone) will not count. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Nov 3, 2026closing sooncloses · Nov 5, 2026
November 4 · prices over time
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