How many Knesset members will abstain or not vote on the new Israeli government?
Polymarket·Politics·ends Mar 1, 2027
As of 04:55 UTC on 9 Nov 2026, “10+” leads “How many Knesset members will abstain or not vote on the new Israeli government?” on Polymarket at 46% (+14pp in 24h), followed by “1” at 35% (+8pp in 24h) and “4” at 33% (-1pp in 24h), out of 9 outcomes. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government.
This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who do not vote “For” or “Against” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election, including Members who abstain, are absent, or otherwise do not participate. This number is calculated as 120 minus the combined number of “For” and “Against” votes.
The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions.
If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”.
Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.
The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.
