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event2 outcomes

Aleksandar Vučić arrested by...?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 20:49 UTC on 7 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “Aleksandar Vučić arrested by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31, 2026” at 26% (-23pp in 24h) and “November 30, 2026” at 9% (-48pp in 24h). The event has $2.6k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.

vol cum
$2.6k
vol 24h
$2.6k
outcomes
2
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
SerbiaPolitics
marketselected outcome
December 31, 2026
rank #1
Serbia
26¢
▼ 23.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.1k
vol 24h
$1.1k
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aleksandar Vučić is arrested or detained by law enforcement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline
opened · Nov 7, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
December 31, 2026 · prices over time
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