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event7 outcomes

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Polymarket·Climate and Weather·ends Jan 1, 2027
vol cum
$1.4M
vol 24h
$13.1k
outcomes
7
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 7
WeatherClimate & ScienceScienceEarthquakesNatural Disasters
marketselected outcome
14–16
rank #1
49¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$188.6k
vol 24h
$10
spread
0.06
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

timeline
opened · Dec 31, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
14–16 · prices over time
−24h
now
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