What is the current probability for "Will Trump visit Greenland by...?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?": December 31 7%, March 31 0% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 12/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/147773. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event2 outcomes

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

·Politics·ends Dec 31, 2026

vol cum

$239.3k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Dec 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

Foreign PolicyPoliticsTrumpGeopoliticsGreenland

marketselected outcome

December 31

rank #1

United StatesGreenland

7¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$5k

vol 24h

spread

0.06

ends

Dec 31, 2026

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

timeline

opened · Mar 30, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026

prices over time · December 31 highlighted

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