As of 11:46 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, “Republican Party” leads “AK-AL House Election Winner” on Polymarket at 82% (-3pp in 24h), followed by “Bill Hill” at 17% (+3pp in 24h) and “Democratic Party” at 1%, out of 8 outcomes. The event has $342 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket.
vol cum
$62.5k
vol 24h
$342
outcomes
8
ends
Nov 4, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
PoliticsElectionsNov 4 ElectionsHouse ElectionsMidtermsAlaska MidtermUS ElectionKey House Races
marketselected outcome
Republican Party
rank #1
United States
R
82¢
▼ 3.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$23.7k
vol 24h
$100
spread
0.02
ends
Nov 4, 2026
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources, except if that candidate is a listed option. Candidates who are listed options will not be considered to represent any party for purposes of this market, regardless of any subsequent caucus decision.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).