pdatanews211
event8 outcomes

HI-02 House Election Winner

Polymarket·Politics·ends Nov 4, 2026

As of 15:00 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, “Jill Tokuda (D)” leads “HI-02 House Election Winner” on Polymarket at 95% (-1pp in 24h), followed by “Brenton Awa (R)” at 5% (+2pp in 24h), out of 8 outcomes. The event has $1.1k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket.

vol cum
$82.4k
vol 24h
$1.1k
outcomes
8
ends
Nov 4, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
PoliticsElectionsNov 4 ElectionsMidtermsHouse ElectionsHawaii MidtermUS Election
marketselected outcome
Jill Tokuda (D)
rank #1
United States
95¢
▼ 0.6pp
24h change
vol cum
$44.8k
vol 24h
$766
spread
0.02
ends
Nov 4, 2026

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

timeline
opened · Jan 28, 2026opencloses · Nov 4, 2026
Jill Tokuda (D) · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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