Question 1

What is the current probability for "Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Polymarket odds for "Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?": 40%+ 100%, 45%+ 100%, 50%+ 28% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 3/31/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/191692. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

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