What is the current probability for "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2"?

"Mayweather" is currently 50% (-1pp in the last 24h) on Polymarket, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/20/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/226443. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

·Sports

50%

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$144.2k

vol 24h

$23.6k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 20, 2026

Mayweather 50¢

Pacquiao 51¢

This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Boxingnetflixpacquiaomayweatherfloydpac

timeline

opened · Feb 23, 2026opencloses · Sep 20, 2026

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