What is the current probability for "Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?"?

"Yes" is currently 19% (+2pp in the last 24h) on Polymarket, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 6/30/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/228899. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?

·Politics

United States

19%

▲ 1.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$6.3k

vol 24h

spread

0.24

ends

Jun 30, 2026

Yes 19¢

No 81¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Congresshouse of representativesPoliticstexas

timeline

opened · Feb 26, 2026opencloses · Jun 30, 2026

Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?

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Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?

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