What is the current probability for "Spain snap election called by...?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?": August 31, 2026 27%, June 30, 2026 2%, December 31, 2025 0% (top 3 of 3 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/25391. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event3 outcomes

Spain snap election called by...?

·World·ends Aug 31, 2026

vol cum

$179k

vol 24h

$1.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

world affairsWorldElectionsPoliticsGlobal ElectionsInternational Election Props

marketselected outcome

August 31, 2026

rank #1

Spain

27¢

▼ 17.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.4k

vol 24h

$1.4k

spread

0.06

ends

Aug 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline

opened · Jun 24, 2026opencloses · Aug 31, 2026

August 31, 2026 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history