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New Zealand legislative election winner?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Nov 8, 2026

As of 04:04 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, “National Party” leads “New Zealand legislative election winner?” on Polymarket at 56%, followed by “Labour Party” at 41% (-3pp in 24h) and “Green Party” at 0%, out of 7 outcomes. The event has $303 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
$93.8k
vol 24h
$303
outcomes
7
ends
Nov 8, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 7

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid part list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

PoliticsGlobal ElectionsElectionsMain ElectionNew Zealand ElectionNZWorld Elections
marketselected outcome
National Party
rank #1
New Zealand
56¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$36.5k
vol 24h
$112
spread
0.03
ends
Nov 8, 2026

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

timeline
opened · Apr 29, 2026opencloses · Nov 8, 2026
National Party · prices over time
−24h
now
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