What is the current probability for "World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)"?

Current Polymarket odds for "World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)": France 60%, Argentina 26%, Norway 5% (top 3 of 49 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/3/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/431518. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event49 outcomes

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

·Sports·ends Aug 3, 2026

vol cum

$1.2M

vol 24h

$13.5k

outcomes

ends

Aug 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 49

2026 FIFA World CupFIFA World CupSportsSoccerTeam Props

marketselected outcome

France

rank #1

60¢

▲ 4.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$70.7k

vol 24h

$5k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 3, 2026

This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.

timeline

opened · Apr 29, 2026opencloses · Aug 3, 2026

France · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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