What is the current probability for "Who will Trump endorse?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Who will Trump endorse?": Ken Paxton - TX-Sen 100%, Andy Barr - KY-Sen 100%, Steve Hilton - CA-Gov 100% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 11/4/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/43352. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event7 outcomes

Who will Trump endorse?

·Politics·ends Nov 4, 2026

vol cum

$230.2k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Nov 4, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

This market will resolve according to the candidate Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

TrumpTrump PresidencyPolitics

marketselected outcome

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen

rank #1 · resolved: yes

United States

100¢

vol cum

$64.9k

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Nov 4, 2026

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

timeline

opened · Sep 12, 2025closedresolved · May 19, 2026

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history