As of 22:24 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 21%, “June 30” at 0% and “September 30” at 0%. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Opinion.
vol cum
$47.5k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
PoliticsTrumpCubaOilCanelDiaz
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
United StatesCuba
21¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$60
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.25
ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
