What is the current probability for "Next James Bond actor?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Next James Bond actor?": Jack Lowden 48%, No Bond chosen 17%, Jack Barton 9% (top 3 of 49 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Dec 31, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/498879. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

↗

event49 outcomes

Next James Bond actor?

·Culture·ends Dec 31, 2026

vol cum

$731k

vol 24h

$60.3k

outcomes

ends

Dec 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 49

CultureCelebritiesMovies

marketselected outcome

Jack Lowden

rank #1

48¢

▲ 23.3pp

24h change

vol cum

$133.9k

vol 24h

$17.4k

spread

0.00

ends

Dec 31, 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline

opened · May 18, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026

Jack Lowden · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history