What is the current probability for "Precipitation in Seoul in June?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Precipitation in Seoul in June?": 120-130mm 36%, <100mm 26%, 130-140mm 26% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 6/30/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/531410. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event8 outcomes

Precipitation in Seoul in June?

Q: When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 6/30/2026.

Q: How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Q: Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/531410. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

·Science and Technology·ends Jun 30, 2026

vol cum

$611

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jun 30, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

PrecipitationScienceWeather

marketselected outcome

120-130mm

rank #1

South Korea

36¢

▲ 7.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$66

vol 24h

spread

0.68

ends

Jun 30, 2026

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in June, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of June at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026. If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

timeline

opened · May 27, 2026opencloses · Jun 30, 2026

prices over time · 120-130mm highlighted

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now

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