What is the current probability for "Top Album 2026"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Top Album 2026": Arirang - BTS 19%, The Romantic - Bruno Mars 5%, Dandelion - Ella Langley 5% (top 3 of 53 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 12/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/531468. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event53 outcomes

Top Album 2026

·Culture·ends Dec 31, 2026

vol cum

$23.5k

vol 24h

$906

outcomes

ends

Dec 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 53

MusicCulture

marketselected outcome

Arirang - BTS

rank #1

South Korea

19¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$19.3k

vol 24h

$779

spread

0.01

ends

Dec 31, 2026

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed albums (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/). This market will resolve according to the most-streamed Spotify album for 2026. If Spotify does not release its top album for 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

timeline

opened · May 27, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026

Arirang - BTS · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history