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event6 outcomes

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Sep 30, 2026
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GeopoliticsHezbollahIsraelMiddle EastLebanon
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September 30
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IsraelLebanon
14¢
36.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$750
vol 24h
$750
spread
0.21
ends
Sep 30, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

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opened · Aug 26, 2026opencloses · Sep 30, 2026
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