What is the current probability for "World Cup: Player to score"?

pdata aggregates live probability data for "World Cup: Player to score" from polymarket. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/20/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/535474. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

World Cup: Player to score

Source: polymarket·Event ID: 535474·Ends: 7/20/2026

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed player scores a goal during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. A goal scored during regular time, stoppage time, and extra time will be considered. No goal scored by way of own goal or penalty shootout will be considered. A goal scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, and extra time will count toward a “Yes” resolution. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined if the listed player scored a goal during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Markets

Lionel Messi
- Yes: 87¢
- No: 14¢
Cristiano Ronaldo
- Yes: 86¢
- No: 14¢
Lautaro Martínez
- Yes: 79¢
- No: 21¢
Julián Álvarez
- Yes: 78¢
- No: 23¢
Viktor Gyökeres
- Yes: 78¢
- No: 23¢
Bukayo Saka
- Yes: 76¢
- No: 24¢
Raphinha
- Yes: 75¢
- No: 25¢
Ousmane Dembélé
- Yes: 75¢
- No: 25¢
Kai Havertz
- Yes: 75¢
- No: 25¢
Alexander Sørloth
- Yes: 75¢
- No: 25¢
Michael Olise
- Yes: 73¢
- No: 27¢
Romelu Lukaku
- Yes: 73¢
- No: 27¢
Jude Bellingham
- Yes: 73¢
- No: 28¢
Gabriel Magalhães
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Florian Wirtz
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 51¢
Neymar Jr.
- Yes: 45¢
- No: 55¢
Scott McTominay
- Yes: 33¢
- No: 68¢
Kaoru Mitoma
- Yes: 22¢
- No: 79¢
Jeremie Frimpong
- Yes: 8¢
- No: 92¢
Fermín López
- Yes: 8¢
- No: 93¢
Phil Foden
- Yes: 5¢
- No: 96¢
Cole Palmer
- Yes: 4¢
- No: 96¢
David Raya
- Yes: 3¢
- No: 97¢
Robert Lewandowski
- Yes: 1¢
- No: 99¢
Trent Alexander-Arnold
- Yes: 1¢
- No: 99¢
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
- Yes: 1¢
- No: 99¢
Bruno Fernandes
- Yes: 77¢
- No: 23¢
Sadio Mané
- Yes: 76¢
- No: 24¢
Son Heung-min
- Yes: 74¢
- No: 26¢
Folarin Balogun
- Yes: 74¢
- No: 26¢
Alexander Isak
- Yes: 74¢
- No: 27¢
Mohamed Salah
- Yes: 73¢
- No: 27¢
Matheus Cunha
- Yes: 71¢
- No: 30¢
Christian Pulisic
- Yes: 70¢
- No: 30¢
Luis Díaz
- Yes: 70¢
- No: 31¢
Charles De Ketelaere
- Yes: 64¢
- No: 36¢
Ferran Torres
- Yes: 64¢
- No: 36¢
Mikel Oyarzabal
- Yes: 63¢
- No: 38¢
Donyell Malen
- Yes: 62¢
- No: 38¢
Brahim Díaz
- Yes: 62¢
- No: 39¢
Luis Suárez
- Yes: 62¢
- No: 39¢
Nick Woltemade
- Yes: 61¢
- No: 40¢
Omar Marmoush
- Yes: 61¢
- No: 40¢
Cody Gakpo
- Yes: 60¢
- No: 41¢
Federico Valverde
- Yes: 57¢
- No: 43¢
Nico Williams
- Yes: 57¢
- No: 43¢
Fabián Ruiz
- Yes: 57¢
- No: 43¢
Désiré Doué
- Yes: 56¢
- No: 44¢
Dani Olmo
- Yes: 56¢
- No: 45¢
Rayan Cherki
- Yes: 54¢
- No: 46¢
Pedri
- Yes: 54¢
- No: 46¢
Arda Güler
- Yes: 54¢
- No: 46¢
Gonçalo Ramos
- Yes: 54¢
- No: 46¢
Marcus Thuram
- Yes: 54¢
- No: 46¢
Marcel Sabitzer
- Yes: 54¢
- No: 46¢
Martin Ødegaard
- Yes: 54¢
- No: 47¢
Granit Xhaka
- Yes: 54¢
- No: 47¢
Jamal Musiala
- Yes: 53¢
- No: 47¢
Vitinha
- Yes: 53¢
- No: 47¢
Tijjani Reijnders
- Yes: 53¢
- No: 48¢
Kenan Yıldız
- Yes: 53¢
- No: 48¢
Bradley Barcola
- Yes: 53¢
- No: 48¢
Memphis Depay
- Yes: 53¢
- No: 48¢
Bernardo Silva
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 48¢
Nuno Mendes
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 48¢
Denzel Dumfries
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 48¢
Jérémy Doku
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 48¢
Enzo Fernández
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 48¢
Rafael Leão
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 48¢
Gabriel Martinelli
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 48¢
Dan Ndoye
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 48¢
Noah Okafor
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 48¢
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 48¢
Chris Wood
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 48¢
Marcus Rashford
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 48¢
Ivan Perišić
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 48¢
João Neves
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 49¢
Casemiro
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 49¢
Raúl Jiménez
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 49¢
Che Adams
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 49¢
Yoane Wissa
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 49¢
James Rodríguez
- Yes: 52¢
- No: 49¢
Declan Rice
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 49¢
Antoine Semenyo
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 49¢
Bruno Guimarães
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 49¢
Breel Embolo
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 49¢
Igor Thiago
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 49¢
Leroy Sané
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 49¢
Amad Diallo
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 49¢
Moisés Caicedo
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 50¢
Aurélien Tchouaméni
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 50¢
Alphonso Davies
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 50¢
Marc Cucurella
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 50¢
William Pacho
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 50¢
Marc Guéhi
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 50¢
Lisandro Martínez
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 50¢
Pervis Estupiñán
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 50¢
Tahith Chong
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 50¢
Haissem Hassan
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 50¢
Gavi
- Yes: 51¢
- No: 50¢
Rodri
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Martin Zubimendi
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Joško Gvardiol
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Pau Cubarsí
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Ismaïla Sarr
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Alexis Mac Allister
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Reece James
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Mikel Merino
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Eberechi Eze
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Abdulaziz Hatem
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Ahmed Fathi
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Endrick
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Josué Casimir
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Julio Enciso
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Miguel Almirón
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Lennart Kahl
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Nicolas Pépé
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Ibrahim Sangaré
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Teun Koopmeiners
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Keito Nakamura
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Anthony Elanga
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Khalil Ayari
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Leandro Trossard
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Dário Leite
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Iliman Ndiaye
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Oscar Bobb
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Carney Chukwuemeka
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Pedro Neto
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Mateo Kovačić
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Iñaki Williams
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Ismael Díaz
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 50¢
Ryan Gravenberch
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 51¢
Ibrahima Konaté
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 51¢
João Cancelo
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 51¢
Ricardo Pepi
- Yes: 50¢
- No: 51¢
Emiliano Buendía
- Yes: 49¢
- No: 51¢
Luka Modrić
- Yes: 48¢
- No: 52¢
Kim Min-jae
- Yes: 48¢
- No: 52¢
Takefusa Kubo
- Yes: 48¢
- No: 52¢
Jules Koundé
- Yes: 48¢
- No: 53¢
Kevin De Bruyne
- Yes: 46¢
- No: 54¢
Wilson Isidor
- Yes: 41¢
- No: 59¢
João Pedro
- Yes: 41¢
- No: 60¢
Weston McKennie
- Yes: 38¢
- No: 63¢
Frenkie de Jong
- Yes: 33¢
- No: 68¢
Yann Bisseck
- Yes: 32¢
- No: 69¢
Virgil van Dijk
- Yes: 30¢
- No: 70¢
Joshua Kimmich
- Yes: 28¢
- No: 72¢
William Saliba
- Yes: 27¢
- No: 74¢
Rúben Dias
- Yes: 26¢
- No: 75¢
Marquinhos
- Yes: 25¢
- No: 75¢
Antonio Rüdiger
- Yes: 25¢
- No: 76¢
N'Golo Kanté
- Yes: 25¢
- No: 76¢