What is the current probability for "Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá": Iván Cepeda Castro 98%, Other 50%, Abelardo de la Espriella 1% (top 3 of 3 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 6/22/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/563062. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event3 outcomes

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá

·Elections·ends Jun 22, 2026

vol cum

$455.3k

vol 24h

$217.8k

outcomes

ends

Jun 22, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

PresidentGlobal ElectionsBogotáColombiaElectionsrewards 200, 4.5, 20 DeprecColombia ElectionInternational Election Props

marketselected outcome

Abelardo de la Espriella

rank #3

Colombia

1¢

▼ 43.6pp

24h change

vol cum

$256.5k

vol 24h

$116.6k

spread

0.01

ends

Jun 22, 2026

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

timeline

opened · Jun 5, 2026closedresolved · Jun 22, 2026

Abelardo de la Espriella · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history