What is the current probability for "Elon Musk # tweets June 8 - June 10, 2026?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Elon Musk # tweets June 8 - June 10, 2026?": 40-64 72%, 65-89 39%, 90-114 1% (top 3 of 10 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 6/10/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/566154. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Polymarket

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event10 outcomes

Elon Musk # tweets June 8 - June 10, 2026?

·Culture·ends Jun 10, 2026

vol cum

$767.6k

vol 24h

$459k

outcomes

ends

Jun 10, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

CultureTweet MarketsPoliticsRewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)

marketselected outcome

40-64

rank #1

72¢

▲ 29.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$141.7k

vol 24h

$104.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Jun 10, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 8 12:00 PM ET to June 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

timeline

opened · Jun 6, 2026closing sooncloses · Jun 10, 2026

prices over time · 40-64 highlighted

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

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