What is the current probability for "Targu Mures: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Cezar Cretu"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Targu Mures: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Cezar Cretu": Targu Mures: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Cezar Cretu Set 1 O/U 8.5 54%, Targu Mures: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Cezar Cretu Match O/U 21.5 50%, Targu Mures: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Cezar Cretu Set Handicap +/-1.5 50% (top 3 of 16 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/1/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/626156. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Targu Mures: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Cezar Cretu

·Sports·ends Jul 1, 2026

vol cum

$14.5k

vol 24h

$14.5k

outcomes

ends

Jul 1, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Targu Mures: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Cezar Cretu Set 1 O/U 8.5

rank #1

54¢

▲ 3.5pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.91

ends

Jul 1, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Guillen Meza and Cezar Cretu in the Targu Mures, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

timeline

opened · Jun 23, 2026opencloses · Jul 1, 2026

Targu Mures: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Cezar Cretu Set 1 O/U 8.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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