What is the current probability for "World Cup: Shirt Manufacturer Worn by Champion"?

Current Polymarket odds for "World Cup: Shirt Manufacturer Worn by Champion": Nike 55%, Brand A 50%, Brand B 50% (top 3 of 19 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event has no fixed resolution date; check the source (polymarket) for resolution rules.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/626855. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event19 outcomes

World Cup: Shirt Manufacturer Worn by Champion

·Sports

vol cum

$10.9k

vol 24h

$10.9k

outcomes

ends

—

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 19

SoccerCultureFIFA World Cupculture/mentionsSports2026 FIFA World Cup

marketselected outcome

Nike

rank #1

55¢

▲ 4.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$8.8k

vol 24h

$8.8k

spread

0.01

ends

—

This market will resolve in favor of the brand producing the shirt worn by the Champion of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the winner wears more than one brand during the World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which brand was worn by the winner within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be photos or videos from the World Cup Final, or official media from the brand and/or winning team.

timeline

opened · Jun 23, 2026opencloses

Nike · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.