p|datav0.1news190
HomeMarketsHubsOddsNews190MapMonitor
menu
HomeMarketsHubsOddsNews190MapMonitor
theme
markets·Science and Technology
opentrade on Polymarket ↗
event3 outcomes

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jul 31, 2026
vol cum
$5k
vol 24h
$5k
outcomes
3
ends
Jul 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
ClaudeClaude 5AISonnetTechanthropic
marketselected outcome
July 31
rank #1
J
97¢
▲ 47.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.8k
vol 24h
$1.8k
spread
0.01
ends
Jul 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 4.7, Claude Sonnet 5.0, Sonnet 5, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Jun 24, 2026opencloses · Jul 31, 2026
July 31 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Polymarketpolymarket
Claude Code Commits End of June?
750.0k+36¢▼ 3.0pp<500.0k2¢▼ 0.1pp700.0-750.0k10¢▼ 8.7pp
+4 others
$368 24h · 7 markets
Manifoldmanifold
Will Claude Fable 5 be re-enabled for Non-Americans before July 1st, 2026?
yes34¢▲ 15.6pp
M1.1k 24h · 1 market
Kalshikalshi
Who will release a new song this year?
Sam Smith99¢▲ 1.0ppColdplay87¢▼ 10.0ppBenson Boone98¢· 0.0pp
+77 others
$367 24h · 80 markets
Polymarketpolymarket
Will Claude go down on __ days in June?
9-1154¢▼ 5.0pp12+3¢▼ 17.1pp6-830¢▲ 7.0pp
+2 others
$585 24h · 5 markets
Kalshikalshi
What genre will Beyonce’s next album be?
Rock81¢· 0.0ppR&B/Hip-Hop45¢· 0.0ppGospel25¢· 0.0pp
+6 others
$0 24h · 9 markets
Polymarketpolymarket
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
45%+11¢▼ 4.0pp50%+7¢▼ 1.0pp55%+1¢▼ 0.3pp
+2 others
$976 24h · 5 markets
p|data·synced:Polymarket—Kalshi—Manifold—Predict—Myriad—Opinion—Limitless—Gemini—
hubsaboutmethodologyagentsdocsx© 2026