What is the current probability for "Trump signs housing bill by end of July?"?

"Yes" is currently 2% (-30pp in the last 24h) on Polymarket, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/631086. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

·Economy

United States

▼ 29.6pp

24h change

vol cum

$30.6k

vol 24h

$27.5k

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 31, 2026

Yes 2¢

No 98¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump signs H.R. 6644, also referred to as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, into law by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only enactment by a presidential signature shall be relevant for this market. It will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if the relevant bill becomes a law by a method other than a presidential signature. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

EconomyCongressPoliticsUnited States

timeline

opened · Jun 24, 2026opencloses · Jul 31, 2026

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