Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will Nous Research launch a token by ___?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Polymarket odds for "Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2027?": December 31, 2027 63%, March 31, 2027 60%, September 30, 2027 53% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 1/1/2028.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/635357. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.