event3 outcomes

Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?

Polymarket·Culture·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 12:13 UTC on 7 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 89% (-3pp in 24h), “October 31” at 19% (-7pp in 24h) and “October 15” at 10% (-16pp in 24h). The event has $3.1k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless and Manifold.

vol cum

$13.8k

vol 24h

$3.1k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

SpainarrestCulturePoliticsCataloniaindependence

marketselected outcome

December 31

rank #1

Spain

89¢

▼ 3.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$11k

vol 24h

$285

spread

0.02

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.

timeline

opened · Jun 26, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

December 31 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history