What is the current probability for "Number of TSA passengers June 29 - July 5"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Number of TSA passengers June 29 - July 5": 21m 50% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/5/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/638073. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event7 outcomes

Number of TSA passengers June 29 - July 5

·World·ends Jul 5, 2026

vol cum

$180

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jul 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

TSAWorldtravelCultureEconomyConsumerGov Shutdown

marketselected outcome

<19m

rank #1

United States

53¢

▲ 2.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.92

ends

Jul 5, 2026

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between June 29, 2026 and July 5, 2026 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from June 29, 2026 to July 5, 2026 by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

timeline

opened · Jun 26, 2026opencloses · Jul 5, 2026

<19m · prices over time

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