What is the current probability for "Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna" are Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna 75%, Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna Total Sets: O/U 2.5 51%, Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 Winner 51% — 2 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/4/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/638446. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

↗

event16 outcomes

Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna

·Sports·ends Jul 4, 2026

vol cum

$112.3k

vol 24h

$112.3k

outcomes

ends

Jul 4, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 Winner

rank #1

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.5k

vol 24h

$1.5k

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 4, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Seyboth Wild and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Piracicaba, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Wild” if Thiago Seyboth Wild wins the first set. It will resolve to “Serna” if Juan Manuel La Serna wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jun 26, 2026opencloses · Jul 4, 2026

Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.