What is the current probability for "Australia vs. Guam"?

"Australia" is currently 99% (+48pp in the last 24h) on Polymarket, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/10/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/640025. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Australia vs. Guam

·Sports

99%

▲ 47.7pp

24h change

vol cum

$10.5k

vol 24h

$10.5k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 10, 2026

Australia 99¢

Guam 1¢

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for July 3 at 6:30AM ET: If the Australia win, the market will resolve to "Australia". If the Guam win, the market will resolve to "Guam". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

SportsGamesBasketballFIBA WCQ Asia

timeline

opened · Jun 27, 2026opencloses · Jul 10, 2026

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