What is the current probability for "Rwanda vs. Nigeria"?

"Rwanda" is currently 7% (-33pp in the last 24h) on Polymarket, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/12/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/646988. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Rwanda vs. Nigeria

·Sports

▼ 33.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$12.4k

vol 24h

$12.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 12, 2026

Rwanda 7¢

Nigeria 94¢

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for July 5 at 5:00AM ET: If the Rwanda win, the market will resolve to "Rwanda". If the Nigeria win, the market will resolve to "Nigeria". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

SportsGamesBasketballFIBA WCQ Africa

timeline

opened · Jun 29, 2026opencloses · Jul 12, 2026

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