Q: When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/4/2026.

Q: How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Q: Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/648184. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Polymarket odds for "Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?": 40-64 44%, 65-89 32%, <40 14% (top 3 of 10 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 7/4/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/648184. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.