What is the current probability for "Croatia vs. Israel"?

"Croatia" is currently 100% (+9pp in the last 24h) on Polymarket, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/13/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/650548. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Croatia vs. Israel

·Sports

100%

▲ 8.8pp

24h change

vol cum

$37k

vol 24h

$36.8k

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 13, 2026

Croatia 100¢

Israel 0¢

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for July 6 at 2:00PM ET: If the Croatia win, the market will resolve to "Croatia". If the Israel win, the market will resolve to "Israel". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

SportsGamesBasketballFIBA WCQ Europe

timeline

opened · Jun 30, 2026opencloses · Jul 13, 2026

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