What is the current probability for "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?": Aleksandar Vučić 52%, Other 50%, Ilija Srdanović 35% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jun 30, 2028.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/655483. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event11 outcomes

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

·Politics·ends Jun 30, 2028

vol cum

$371.3k

vol 24h

$64.6k

outcomes

ends

Jun 30, 2028

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

SerbiaPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections

marketselected outcome

Aleksandar Vučić

rank #1

Serbia

52¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$255k

vol 24h

$52.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Jun 30, 2028

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.

timeline

opened · Jul 1, 2026opencloses · Jun 30, 2028

Aleksandar Vučić · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history