What is the current probability for "Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski" are Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski Total Sets: O/U 3.5 84%, Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski Set 4 Winner 78%, Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski Match O/U 36.5 68% — 8 of 27 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/9/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/655532. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event27 outcomes

Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski

·Sports·ends Jul 9, 2026

vol cum

$535.4k

vol 24h

$535.4k

outcomes

ends

Jul 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 27

TennisSportsGamesWimbledon

marketselected outcome

Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski Set 2 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: tiafoe

100¢

▲ 61.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.1k

vol 24h

$1.1k

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 9, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Jan Choinski in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Tiafoe” if Frances Tiafoe wins set 2. It will resolve to “Choinski” if Jan Choinski wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.

timeline

opened · Jul 1, 2026closedresolved · Jul 2, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski Set 2 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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