What is the current probability for "MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs"?

Current Polymarket odds for "MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs": Kyle Schwarber 60%, Yordan Alvarez 50%, Byron Buxton 50% (top 3 of 30 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 10/11/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/660410. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event30 outcomes

MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

·Sports·ends Oct 11, 2026

vol cum

$13.9k

vol 24h

$13.9k

outcomes

ends

Oct 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 30

MLBSportsbaseball

marketselected outcome

Kyle Schwarber

rank #1

60¢

▲ 9.5pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.79

ends

Oct 11, 2026

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline

opened · Jul 2, 2026opencloses · Oct 11, 2026

Kyle Schwarber · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.