What is the current probability for "Troyes: Calvin Hemery vs Marvin Moeller"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Troyes: Calvin Hemery vs Marvin Moeller" are Troyes: Calvin Hemery vs Marvin Moeller Set 2 O/U 8.5 75%, Troyes: Calvin Hemery vs Marvin Moeller Set 2 O/U 9.5 75%, Troyes: Calvin Hemery vs Marvin Moeller Set 2 O/U 10.5 75% — 3 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/11/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/663884. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event16 outcomes

Troyes: Calvin Hemery vs Marvin Moeller

·Sports·ends Jul 11, 2026

vol cum

$29k

vol 24h

$29k

outcomes

ends

Jul 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Troyes: Calvin Hemery vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5

rank #1 · resolved: over

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 11, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Hemery and Marvin Moeller in the Troyes, originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

timeline

opened · Jul 3, 2026closedresolved · Jul 4, 2026

Troyes: Calvin Hemery vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.