What is the current probability for "What price will Bitcoin hit on July 4?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "What price will Bitcoin hit on July 4?": ↑ 63,000 42%, ↓ 62,000 37%, ↑ 64,000 2% (top 3 of 16 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/5/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/664767. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Polymarket

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event16 outcomes

What price will Bitcoin hit on July 4?

·Crypto·ends Jul 5, 2026

vol cum

$16.7k

vol 24h

$16.7k

outcomes

ends